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Recession Prediction Using Yield Curve and Stock Market Liquidity Deviation Measures
(Oxford Univ Press, 2015)
This article extends the benchmark Estrella and Hardouvelis term spread approach to recession forecasting by including the stock market macro liquidity deviation factor. We use a probit framework to predict recessions, as ...
Dynamics of regional new firm formation in Turkey
(Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 2015)
New firm formation is an important determinant of regional development. Entrepreneurial decisions on location choice are affected by numerous factors. Given the importance of local regional characteristics, this study ...