Application of fuzzy DEMATEL approach in maritime transportation: A risk analysis of anchor loss

Abstract

Vessels are exposed to various operational risks throughout their service life. Anchor loss, which is one of the operational risks, may lead to grounding, collision and even total loss of vessel afterwards. Accidents due to loss of anchor may lead to serious consequences such as pollution, injury, loss of life and property. Therefore, it is very important to minimize the risk of anchor loss. In this study, a comprehensive literature review including accident and incident reports, technical reports and expert views was conducted to determine the factors that may cause anchor loss of ships. In order to analyze and define the cause-effect relationship between the determined factors, combination of the fuzzy logic and the DEMATEL (Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) method was used. The aim of this study is to mitigate the risk of anchor loss by developing an alternative risk analysis tool. Environmental factors at anchorage area, training and competency of crew, the number of shackles paid out, anchoring method and selection of anchor are identified as the most critical factors for anchor loss. According to the results, a risk analysis model based on cause-effect relationship between the factors has been presented for the shareholders in maritime industry.